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Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — OpenAI

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2040Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$77
Liquidity
$52k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — Anthropic
96%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2040
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$77
Liquidity$52k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen