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How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.4%

Live
Resolves Nov 25, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$695
Liquidity
$832

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?

How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.1%
99%
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.2%
92%
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.0%
92%
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.3%
13%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 25, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$695
Liquidity$832
CategoryOther
StatusOpen