🗳️ Elections
Quebec general election: 4th place

Quebec general election: 4th place — Conservative Party of Québec

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 37%.

About this market

If Conservative Party of Québec finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Quebec general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Quebec general election: 4th place

Quebec general election: 4th place — Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)
49%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Québec solidaire
5%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Quebec Liberal Party
2%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Parti Québécois
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Kalshi
37%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen