🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 50
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 83%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 46
99%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 47
95%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 48
90%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 49
87%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 52
73%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 51
72%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 53
57%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 54
44%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 55
27%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 56
16%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 57
9%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) — At least 58
5%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen