🗳️ Elections
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? — Chris Van Hollen

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$975
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 46%. Kalshi has moved up 40pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
46%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$975
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen