🗳️ Elections

Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
31%
No
69%
No (69%)Yes (31%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 31%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
31%
probability of YES
Kalshi
31%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen