🗳️ Elections

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$32
Liquidity
$203

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$32
Liquidity$203
CategoryElections
StatusOpen