🗳️ Elections
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
70%
No
30%
No (30%)Yes (70%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$39
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 70%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$39
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen