🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — Below 38.5%
Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 60%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.7%
16%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.8%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.6%
5%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.5%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — Above 39.1%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.0%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.1%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.9%
1%
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen