🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — Below 38.4%
Live
Resolves Oct 18, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.7%
36%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.6%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.5%
14%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.4%
9%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.8%
5%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — Above 39.0%
5%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 38.9%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026? — 39.0%
3%
Resolution
Oct 18, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen