🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — Below 38.6%
Live
Resolves Oct 20, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$49k
Liquidity
$25k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 38.8%
29%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 38.9%
25%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 39.0%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 38.7%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 39.2%
9%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 38.6%
7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — Above 39.2%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026? — 39.1%
3%
Resolution
Oct 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$49k
Liquidity$25k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen