🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Below 38.6%

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$34k
Liquidity
$16k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.6%
24%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.7%
14%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.9%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.8%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.0%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.1%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.2%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Above 39.2%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
27%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$34k
Liquidity$16k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen