🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.8%

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
43%
No
57%
No (57%)Yes (43%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$25k
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 43%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.6%
41%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Below 38.6%
27%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.7%
13%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.9%
7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.0%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.1%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Above 39.2%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.2%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
43%
probability of YES
Kalshi
43%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$25k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen