🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Below 38.6%

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$49k
Liquidity
$22k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.6%
41%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.7%
13%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.8%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 38.9%
7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.0%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.1%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — Above 39.2%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026? — 39.2%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$49k
Liquidity$22k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen