🗳️ Elections
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Abdul El-Sayed

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$420
Liquidity
$425

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%.

About this market

If Abdul El-Sayed's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Tina Kotek
96%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Troy Jackson
81%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Peggy Flanagan
38%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Keisha Lance Bottoms
37%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Kathy Hochul
35%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Angie Nixon
25%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Chris Pappas
24%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — David Jolly
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
27%Check
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Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$420
Liquidity$425
CategoryElections
StatusOpen