🗳️ Elections
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Peggy Flanagan

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%.

About this market

If Peggy Flanagan's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Tina Kotek
96%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Troy Jackson
81%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Keisha Lance Bottoms
37%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Kathy Hochul
31%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Abdul El-Sayed
27%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Angie Nixon
17%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — David Jolly
14%
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — Chris Pappas
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
38%Check
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Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen