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🗳️ Elections

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

Closed
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.

About this market

If PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
81%
probability of YES
Kalshi
81%
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed