Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.

About this market

If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?