📊 Macro
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 4.0%
Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$388
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved down 19pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 0.0%
98%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 0.5%
90%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 1.0%
86%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 1.5%
81%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 2.5%
78%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 3.0%
72%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 2.0%
61%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 3.5%
45%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 4.5%
16%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 5.5%
6%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 6.0%
2%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 5.0%
2%
Resolution
Feb 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$388
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen