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10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3% or above

Live

Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

91%

No (9%)Yes (91%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 91%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 2.99% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2% or above

97%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.5% or above

97%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.75% or above

96%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.25% or above

91%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4% or above

91%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.5% or above

89%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 2.25% or above

88%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 3.75% or above

85%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.5% or above

71%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.25% or above

70%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 4.75% or above

69%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5% or above

61%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.75% or above

41%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.25% or above

40%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 5.5% or above

37%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.75% or above

28%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.25% or above

24%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6% or above

22%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 8% or above

19%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.5% or above

19%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 6.5% or above

17%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.25% or above

15%

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7% or above

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? — 7.75% or above

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

91%

probability of YES

Kalshi

91%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Dec 31, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$223

CategoryOther

StatusOpen