🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Below 8.6%

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$643

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.6% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.9%
37%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.8%
23%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.7%
13%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.6%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.0%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.2%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Above 9.2%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.1%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$643
CategoryElections
StatusOpen