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🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.4%

Live
Resolves Oct 9, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$349
Liquidity
$292

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.7%
84%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — Above 9.0%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 9.0%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.6%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — Below 8.4%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.5%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.9%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 8.8%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 9, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$349
Liquidity$292
CategoryElections
StatusOpen