🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.5%
Live
Resolves Oct 11, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
17%
No
83%
No (83%)Yes (17%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 17%.
About this market
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.7%
41%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.6%
11%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.4%
7%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — Below 8.4%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.9%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — Above 9.0%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 8.8%
2%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 9.0%
1%
Resolution
Oct 11, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen