🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — Below 8.4%
Live
Resolves Oct 12, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 9%.
About this market
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.4%
77%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.5%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 9.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.8%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.7%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — Above 9.0%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.9%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 8.6%
1%
Resolution
Oct 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen