🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 7.8%
Live
Resolves Oct 21, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.
About this market
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — Above 8.2%
67%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 8.2%
9%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 7.9%
7%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 8.0%
5%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 8.1%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 7.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — Below 7.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026? — 7.7%
1%
Resolution
Oct 21, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen