Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 40%

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Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

89%

11%

No (11%)Yes (89%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 89%. Kalshi has moved up 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Susan Collins in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 42%

94%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 44%

89%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 46%

62%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 48%

50%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 50%

42%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 52%

21%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 56%

Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 54%

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Avg probability

89%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$232

CategoryElections

StatusOpen