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When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2028

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$90
Liquidity
$136k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2030
75%
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2027
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
45%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$90
Liquidity$136k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen