🗳️ Elections
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%
Live
Resolves May 6, 2029KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 5.00-5.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 2028 popular vote margin of victory?
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 9.0% or more
29%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%
7%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%
7%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%
6%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%
6%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%
6%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%
5%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%
5%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%
5%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%
3%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%
2%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%
2%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%
2%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 9.0% or more
1%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%
1%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%
1%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%
1%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%
1%
2028 popular vote margin of victory? — Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%
1%
Resolution
May 6, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen