🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 53

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$46k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 47
16%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 48
16%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 49
14%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 50
12%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 46
10%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 51
8%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 45
8%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 45
5%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 52
5%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Above 57
3%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 55
3%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 54
3%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 56
2%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 57
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$46k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen