🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 45

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
70%
No
30%
No (30%)Yes (70%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1.2m
Liquidity
$1.0m

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 70%. Kalshi has moved up 63pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
70%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1.2m
Liquidity$1.0m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen