🗳️ Elections
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 53

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$188
Liquidity
$35k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 49
15%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 48
15%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 50
14%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 47
13%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 51
10%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 45
7%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 46
7%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 52
7%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 45
4%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 55
4%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 54
4%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 56
3%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Above 57
2%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 57
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$188
Liquidity$35k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen