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Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Ashley Hinson

Live
Resolves Dec 7, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 60%.

About this market

If Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election minus Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Roger Marshall
40%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
60%
probability of YES
Kalshi
60%Check
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Resolution
Dec 7, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen