🗳️ Elections
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 4-6%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 8-10%
93%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 10-12%
9%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 6-8%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 16-18%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 12-14%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 2-4%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 14-16%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, ≥18%
1%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? — Nithya Raman, 0-2%
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen