Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 170 million

Live

Resolves Jan 8, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

77%

23%

No (23%)Yes (77%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 77%. Kalshi has moved up 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 170 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 175 million

26%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 180 million

18%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 185 million

12%

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026? — Above 190 million

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

77%

probability of YES

Kalshi

77%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Jan 8, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$1

Liquidity$21

CategoryElections

StatusOpen