Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?

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Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

14%

86%

No (86%)Yes (14%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 14%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.