🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate: margin of victory
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, 2-4%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$28
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Michigan Senate: margin of victory
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, 0-2%
14%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, 4-6%
14%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Mike Rogers, 0-2%
12%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%
12%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, ≥10%
10%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Abdul El-Sayed, 8-10%
8%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Mike Rogers, 2-4%
7%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Mike Rogers, 4-6%
4%
Michigan Senate: margin of victory — Mike Rogers, ≥6%
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$28
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen