🗳️ Elections
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 60%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 1+ pts
83%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 3+ pts
75%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 7+ pts
42%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 9+ pts
30%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 11+ pts
22%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 13+ pts
13%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 15+ pts
4%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 21+ pts
2%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 19+ pts
2%
Minnesota Senate margin of victory — Flanagan, 17+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen