🎯 Other
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Barton

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$248
Liquidity
$26k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Jack Barton is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden
52%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum Turner
33%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack O'Connell
11%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Taylor-Johnson
7%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Francis
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Nicholas Hoult
5%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Theo James
5%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Damson Idris
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Nicholas Galitzine
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Pierre
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Cavill
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jacob Elordi
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Scott Rose-Marsh
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Harris Dickinson
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert Pattinson
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — George MacKay
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Paul Mescal
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Cillian Murphy
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Ashton
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jonathan Bailey
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Idris Elba
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — James Norton
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Richard Madden
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Regé-Jean Page
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Blyth
1%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'Connor
1%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Holland
1%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Charlie Hunnam
1%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Hardy
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
15%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$248
Liquidity$26k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen