🎯 Other
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jacob Elordi

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$336
Liquidity
$122k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum Turner
62%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden
30%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'Connor
13%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert Pattinson
9%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Ashton
9%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Barton
8%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Theo James
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — James Norton
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Nicholas Hoult
5%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Charlie Hunnam
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Taylor-Johnson
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Blyth
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Francis
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Damson Idris
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — George MacKay
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack O'Connell
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Richard Madden
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Hardy
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Harris Dickinson
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Cavill
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Holland
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Regé-Jean Page
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jonathan Bailey
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Paul Mescal
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Pierre
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Joe Alwyn
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Cillian Murphy
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — David Gyasi
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Idris Elba
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Nicholas Galitzine
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$336
Liquidity$122k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen