🗳️ Elections
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$31k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

All outcomes · Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$31k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen