📊 Macro
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 1

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$480
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved down 40pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 2
66%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 3
25%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 8
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 5
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 6
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 9
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 12
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 10
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 11
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 7
0%
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 — Exactly 4
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$480
Liquidity$7k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen