Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 22

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Resolves Oct 27, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

14%

86%

No (86%)Yes (14%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%.

About this market

If Oct 22, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 19

18%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 25

15%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 21

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 24

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 23

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 20

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Avg probability

14%

probability of YES

Kalshi

14%Check

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Resolution

Oct 27, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen