🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 5
Live
Resolves Oct 20, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
64%
No
36%
No (36%)Yes (64%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$900
Liquidity
$700
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 64%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 4
87%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 6
34%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 8
10%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 10
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 14
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 12
2%
Resolution
Oct 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$900
Liquidity$700
CategoryElections
StatusOpen