🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 8
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 3
97%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 4
86%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 5
72%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 6
43%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 7
18%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 9
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 10
2%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen