🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 9
Live
Resolves Nov 24, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 3
88%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 4
83%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 5
67%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 6
51%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 7
30%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 8
19%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 10
7%
Resolution
Nov 24, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen