🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 10

Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$172
Liquidity
$372

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.

About this market

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 5
89%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 15
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 20
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 25
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 30
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
16%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$172
Liquidity$372
CategoryElections
StatusOpen