🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 5
Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 83%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 10
13%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 15
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 20
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 25
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 30
2%
Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen