🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$48k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
21%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$48k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen