🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?

Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$33k
Liquidity
$30k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 12%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$33k
Liquidity$30k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen