🗳️ Elections
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$58
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$58
Liquidity$21k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen